Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 18.32 | $0.560 | $8.34 | -$1.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 23.26 |
| $0.430 |
| $8.02 |
| -$1.98 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11 | $0.460 | $6.11 | +$1.05 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.08 | $0.800 | $5.44 | +$0.58 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.790 | $5.16 | +$0.42 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.440 | $4.04 | +$0.52 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.15 | $0.520 | $3.71 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.2 | $0.300 | $3.19 | -$0.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.23 | $0.866 | $2.77 | -$0.03 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.220 | $0.81 | -$1.94 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.32 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 30.3 |
| $0.330 |
| $10 |
| 15d ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.740 | $3.11 | 16d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?No | buy | 15.17 | $0.659 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.717 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 8.71 | $0.780 | $6.79 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 23d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.32 | $0.770 | $6.41 | 25d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 4.7 | $0.740 | $3.48 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 26d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?Down | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 29d ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 20.49 | $0.488 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.650 | $1.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 12.15 | $0.780 | $9.48 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call?No | buy | 12 | $0.230 | $2.76 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.500 | $3.06 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.450 | $1.37 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 13.25 | $0.510 | $6.76 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.460 | $1.64 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 24?Up | buy | 9.75 | $0.200 | $1.95 | Jul 24, 2026 |