Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?

economyResolved

Yes, settled Aug 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$56.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 12, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 6 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 6 Jul 2026 to 12 Aug 2026, the highest close was 64.5% on 14 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 13% on 19 Jul 2026. $56.81K traded over the market's life.

62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 6 Jul 2026 – 12 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Jul 2026	49.5%
12 Aug 2026	53.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	6.73K
GUINESS123	No	490
pere.sans	Yes	404.8
puravida	No	400.09

10 of 62 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.