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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.708 | $578.5 | -$129.3 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September?Yes | buy | 26.13 | $0.720 | $18.81 | 3h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 927.51 |
| $0.410 |
| $435.93 |
| +$55.65 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | Yes | 466.01 | $0.829 | $419.41 | +$32.94 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.903 | $361 | -$0.2 |
 Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | Yes | 539.92 | $0.834 | $353.65 | -$96.54 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 402.78 | $0.739 | $338.33 | +$40.69 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 600 | $0.440 | $327 | +$63 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 785.41 | $0.333 | $325.95 | +$64.22 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 399.72 | $0.593 | $281.8 | +$44.96 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.700 | $270 | -$10 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 663.35 | $0.356 | $236.48 | +$0.33 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 198 | $0.950 | $188.69 | +$0.58 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.926 | $187.2 | +$2 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.950 | $187 | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.860 | $171 | -$1 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 276.97 | $0.609 | $167.57 | -$0.98 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.670 | $132 | -$2 |
 Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 28, 2026? | Yes | 148.93 | $0.809 | $130.32 | +$9.85 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | Yes | 287.93 | $0.573 | $113.73 | -$51.23 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August? | Yes | 492.37 | $0.165 | $97.98 | +$16.57 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 79.98 | $0.880 | $75.18 | +$4.8 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | Yes | 582.66 | $0.237 | $74 | -$64.29 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 160 | $0.436 | $72.8 | +$3 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 119.19 | $0.512 | $54.83 | -$6.21 |
| Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026? | Yes | 106.42 | $0.526 | $53.32 | -$2.69 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.420 |
| $8.4 |
| 21h ago |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes | buy | 46.3 | $0.407 | $18.83 | 21h ago |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes | buy | 285.35 | $0.370 | $105.58 | 21h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.680 | $67.99 | 1d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 868.02 | $0.749 | $649.86 | 1d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 325.85 | $0.800 | $260.68 | 1d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.927 | $92.7 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | sell | 102.57 | $0.556 | $57.03 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.557 | $3.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.558 | $14.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.560 | $10.64 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | sell | 103.22 | $0.558 | $57.57 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.610 | $9.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Yes | sell | 160.6 | $0.790 | $126.87 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?Yes | buy | 142.5 | $0.985 | $140.35 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?Yes | buy | 98.4 | $0.969 | $95.35 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?Yes | sell | 611.01 | $0.910 | $556.02 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?Yes | sell | 225.3 | $0.727 | $163.72 | 4d ago |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.044 | $0.88 | 4d ago |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 119.19 | $0.512 | $61.04 | 4d ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 475.5 | $0.250 | $118.88 | 4d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 38.76 | $0.251 | $9.73 | 4d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 5d ago |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 5d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.171 | $0.86 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.186 | $1.14 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.186 | $5.57 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 299.99 | $0.140 | $42 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.31 | $0.118 | $9.74 | 6d ago |
| Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.42 | $0.513 | $52.01 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.49 | $0.800 | $29.19 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 97.13 | $0.800 | $77.7 | 8d ago |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | sell | 145.79 | $0.870 | $126.84 | 8d ago |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | sell | 145.78 | $0.870 | $126.83 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.880 | $53.68 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.880 | $135.52 | 8d ago |
| Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 141.45 | $0.973 | $137.65 | 8d ago |
 Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31?No | sell | 35.34 | $0.997 | $35.23 | 8d ago |
| Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.995 | $5.47 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 8d ago |