Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.59 | $0.978 | $8.54 | +$0.14 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.970 | $7.2 | May 30, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 7.42 |
| $0.970 |
| $7.23 |
| +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.140 |
| $4.2 |
| May 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.59 | $0.978 | $8.4 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.970 | $6.3 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.47 | $0.957 | $5.23 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 8.78 | $0.911 | $8 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 6.3 | $0.952 | $6 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.941 | $5.3 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.989 | $1.72 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.974 | $1.18 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will James Mangold win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "A Complete Unknown"?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.993 | $10.5 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 2025 January hottest on record?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.987 | $3.2 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.996 | $7.5 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.986 | $1.44 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 7.65 | $0.980 | $7.5 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.995 | $1.28 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?No | sell | 12.03 | $0.993 | $11.95 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.997 | $12 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?No | sell | 7 | $0.965 | $6.76 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.981 | $12.26 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Biden removed via 25th Amendment?No | sell | 10.3 | $0.985 | $10.15 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No | sell | 12.3 | $0.968 | $11.91 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.982 | $12.28 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 7 | $0.967 | $6.77 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Biden removed via 25th Amendment?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.986 | $10.16 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No | buy | 12.3 | $0.969 | $11.92 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.963 | $10.59 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?No | sell | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Roaring Kitty jail in 2024?No | sell | 8.9 | $0.969 | $8.62 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | sell | 12.6 | $0.969 | $12.21 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.965 | $10.62 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?No | buy | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Roaring Kitty jail in 2024?No | buy | 8.9 | $0.970 | $8.63 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.970 | $12.22 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.002 | $0 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Will the People’s Republic of China win the most medals in the 2024 Paralympics?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.999 | $8.39 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.968 | $9.86 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 10.19 | $0.969 | $9.87 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.7K | $0.003 | $23.1 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 32 | $0.963 | $30.82 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 32 | $0.965 | $30.88 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?No | sell | 24.5 | $0.998 | $24.45 | Sep 3, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?No | sell | 8.8 | $0.976 | $8.59 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $35-40b one day after launch?No | buy | 24.5 | $0.999 | $24.48 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.981 | $8.63 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?No | sell | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.49K | $0.002 | $6.97 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series?No | sell | 25 | $0.997 | $24.93 | Sep 3, 2024 |