Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 24 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2024 to 31 Jan 2025, the highest close was 33% on 26 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 12.5% on 2 Jan 2025. $200.41K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 7:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 24 Dec 2024 – 31 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2024 | 31.5% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 134.84K |
| wefiu | Yes | 7.75K |
| Muffled-Pomelo | Yes | 1.47K |
| gandalf | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on Januar 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/top-ai-model-on-january-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| enochsmiles | Yes | 1K |
| windowsxpfan | Yes | 735.29 |
| AndreAlmeida | Yes | 561.11 |
| DerPatron | Yes | 554.75 |
| j0hnwick | Yes | 437.14 |
| ChickenDinneR | Yes | 315.5 |
