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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 906.52 | $0.046 | $41.7 | Mar 17, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 445.56 |
| $0.045 |
| $20 |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.060 | $10.04 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 561.11 | $0.089 | $50 | Jan 14, 2025 |
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?Yes | buy | 63.83 | $0.470 | $30 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | sell | 92.02 | $0.653 | $60.09 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Iran military response tonight?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.155 | $15 | Aug 5, 2024 |
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | buy | 92.02 | $0.163 | $15 | Aug 2, 2024 |
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No | sell | 67.03 | $0.160 | $10.72 | Aug 1, 2024 |
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No | buy | 67.04 | $0.179 | $12 | Jul 30, 2024 |
Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jul 19, 2024 |