Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7% on 5 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 211 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 10% on 2 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. $86.17K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 211 points, 5 Jun 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2024 | 7.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| phroge | Yes | 3.28K |
| YiumPotato | Yes | 514.14 |
| mags | Yes | 499.97 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keith Gill (@TheRoaringKitty) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 3 and December 31, 2024, by 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/roaring-kitty-jail-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Shwig | No | 319.15 |
| MathieuFisch | Yes | 269.23 |
| TimmyKojs | Yes | 132.98 |
| rubac7 | Yes | 75 |
| Ginoir | Yes | 64.52 |
| 0xpythagoras | Yes | 38.46 |
| mixvilla | Yes | 35.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
