Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 11.35 | $0.881 | $1.96 | -$8.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 93.86 | $0.070 | $6.57 | Feb 3, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 13.15 |
| $0.500 |
| $6.58 |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.56 | $0.700 | $15.09 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 20.39 | $0.740 | $15.09 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.86 | $0.500 | $5.43 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.35 | $0.881 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.490 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.050 | $1.4 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.450 | $7.89 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 28.98 | $0.480 | $13.91 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.93 | $0.520 | $4.64 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.360 | $4 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.88 | $0.410 | $3.64 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.680 | $1.15 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.760 | $4.93 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 11.68 | $0.780 | $9.11 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.810 | $9.75 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.580 | $5.18 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.838 | $5.17 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.180 | $5.04 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.69 | $0.770 | $9 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 45.13 | $0.865 | $39.04 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 14.05 | $0.740 | $10.4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 31.08 | $0.740 | $23 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.03K | $0.001 | $5.82 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.020 | $50 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 896.33 | $0.016 | $14.26 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.016 | $25 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 8?Yes | buy | 22.42 | $0.223 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |