Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 13 Feb 2026, the highest close was 82% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 13 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 78.5% on 5 Dec 2025. $309.72K traded over the market's life.
127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 13 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 72.5% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shuanyang | Yes | 15.46K |
| andrewkabtc | Yes | 10K |
| fullhedge247 | Yes | 5.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aztec's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aztec (https://aztec.network/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/aztec-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 5K |
| Amber Falcon B9C9 | Yes | 3.83K |
| Lovedoctor | Yes | 3.24K |
| Rekib4b | Yes | 2.36K |
| Regular-Lecture | Yes | 1.17K |
| cryptoteluguo | Yes | 1.07K |
| cryptohindi | Yes | 1K |
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