Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 85% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 85% on 11 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 13 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 62 points down, to 23.5% on 12 Dec 2025. $205.34K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 11 Dec 2025 – 14 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 85.0% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JTXEXE | Yes | 1.33K |
| LEONFD | Yes | 1.11K |
| pashmex | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 792 |
| atom157-148 | Yes | 656 |
| Indigo Oracle 9710 | Yes | 561.67 |
| Willing-Cornmeal | Yes | 500 |
| vinsilll | Yes | 476.19 |
| sunday | Yes | 465.06 |
| blanksqq | Yes | 426.56 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Almanak's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Almanak (https://x.com/almanak) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/almanak-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
