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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | No | 5.05 | $0.549 | $4.42 | +$1.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 26d ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.06 |
| $0.344 |
| $3.59 |
| +$2.19 |
 Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.76 | $0.513 | $3.55 | +$1.11 |
 Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | No | 4.16 | $0.420 | $2.48 | +$0.73 |
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | Yes | 44.24 | $0.043 | $1.86 | -$0.05 |
 Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.74 | $0.160 | $1.65 | -$0.87 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4.84 | $0.419 | $1.5 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 1.51 | $0.767 | $1.47 | +$0.31 |
 Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.569 | $1.39 | +$0.44 |
 Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.790 | $1.31 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | No | 1.27 | $0.693 | $1.23 | +$0.35 |
| Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.9 | $0.310 | $1.03 | +$0.13 |
 Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | No | 3.33 | $0.673 | $0.86 | -$1.37 |
 Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO? | Yes | 4.06 | $0.064 | $0.47 | +$0.21 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 818.4 | $0.001 | $0.41 | -$0.46 |
 Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 0.44 | $0.750 | $0.41 | +$0.08 |
 Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | No | 0.44 | $0.876 | $0.38 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | No | 12.76 | $0.057 | $0.35 | -$0.38 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.229 | $0.35 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat? | Yes | 24.7 | $0.056 | $0.33 | -$1.05 |
 Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 3.34 | $0.270 | $0.32 | -$0.58 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | Yes | 0.7 | $0.350 | $0.31 | +$0.07 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 0.22 | $0.446 | $0.21 | +$0.12 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.22 | $0.588 | $0.21 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? | No | 0.2 | $0.710 | $0.2 | +$0.05 |
| sell |
| 29 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.03 |
| 27d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 8.36 | $0.400 | $3.34 | 28d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.580 | $4.06 | 29d ago |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.67 | $0.051 | $0.44 | 29d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.570 | $4.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.4 | $0.410 | $3.44 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.7 | $0.052 | $1.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.7 | $0.052 | $1.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 2.2 | $0.017 | $0.04 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 9.06 | $0.017 | $0.15 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 9.06 | $0.017 | $0.15 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 9.06 | $0.017 | $0.15 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 9.06 | $0.017 | $0.15 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 9.06 | $0.017 | $0.15 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 6.08 | $0.816 | $4.96 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.015 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.78 | $0.220 | $1.49 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 7.68 | $0.721 | $5.54 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.480 | $4.9 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.4 | $0.190 | $2.17 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.1 | $0.190 | $2.3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Vallejos be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Vallejos be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will UK annual inflation be at least 3.4% in June?Yes | sell | 51.4 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.180 | $1.2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Vallejos be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.64 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Vallejos be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Bilibili Gaming Golden Road in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming Golden Road in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.2 | $0.179 | $1.11 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 36%+?Yes | sell | 31.2 | $0.010 | $0.31 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.65?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.150 | $1.21 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin 68%-69%?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.720 | $5.07 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin 68%-69%?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 21.8 | $0.175 | $3.82 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 21.8 | $0.193 | $4.21 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.55?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.490 | $3.58 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes | sell | 6.38 | $0.074 | $0.47 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?Yes | sell | 16.6 | $0.260 | $4.32 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.60?Yes | sell | 8.08 | $0.360 | $2.91 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Yes | sell | 6.58 | $0.040 | $0.26 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 30%-32%?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.170 | $2.21 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 30%-32%?Yes | sell | 4.5 | $0.068 | $0.31 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 30%-32%?Yes | sell | 15.5 | $0.068 | $1.05 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.040 | $2.88 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 30%-32%?Yes | sell | 7.44 | $0.100 | $0.74 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?No | sell | 9.8 | $0.480 | $4.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |