Analytics
Yes is at 66%, up 12 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 18 Jun 2026.
Across the 132 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 33% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 64%; a month before, 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 79% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “UK social media ban in effect by…?”.
$58.59 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.44K since listing. The order book holds $23.55K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 83 trades, $542.24 bought Yes and $183.47 bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 69 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 121.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 132 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 54.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 66.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 120.8 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 68.89 |
| LucaSouls10 | Yes | 50 |
On June 15, 2026, Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced the UK government’s intention to ban children under the age of 16 from accessing social media services. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ban on the use of social media by children under the age of 16 within the United Kingdom takes effect by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A ban will qualify when legislation or a mandate from Ofcom or another UK government regulator is effectively imposed on any group of social media platforms, requiring them to prevent children under the age of 16 from accessing their services, with regulatory penalties to be applied for noncompliance. A qualifying ban must be in effect against a group of social media platforms, defined as consumer-facing online services whose primary function is to view, share, create, and interact with user-generated content. An age restriction applying to online streaming (Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, etc.) or pornographic (PornHub, OnlyFans, etc.) services will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, user-generated video and live-streaming websites like YouTube, Twitch, Kick, and Rumble will qualify as social media platforms. To qualify, a ban must be effectively imposed on social media platforms by the listed date. The enactment of legislation or announcement of future policy without policy effectiveness will not qualify. While a qualifying ban may include exemptions for certain platforms and categories of social media, like direct messaging, a targeted age restriction policy applying to only one company or platform will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom, including Ofcom (https://www.ofcom.org.uk), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-social-media-ban-in-effect-by-20260616193018418
| predictdogepepewif |
| Yes |
| 19.53 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 13.44 |
| Wartlock | No | 3.25 |
| 67sfds | Yes | 2.9 |
| Plain-Veil | No | 2.9 |
| bigdihhh888 | No | 1.33 |
| grove223 | Yes | 0.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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