Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

sportsResolved

No, settled Oct 8, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 8, 2026 UTC

Topic roomMLB

Where it stands

Resolved No on 8 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.7%. Yes opened at 15% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 208 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.2% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 28 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 5.5% on 5 Oct 2026. $1.16M traded over the market's life.

146 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 7:12 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 208 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
solwizzo-onX	Yes	200K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	50.61K
e46m3	Yes	6.51K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.