Latest trade
Jul 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:35 AM UTC.
Analytics
leo.stellati is down $152.77 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 22 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:35 AM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Jan 7, 2026 UTC to Jul 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 43.86 | $0.570 | $35.09 | +$10.09 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 293.25 | $0.182 | $53.51 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 10:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 10:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 10:35 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 10:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $136.56 and losing ones cost $131.67 across 22 settled positions. 54.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $40.63 on “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?” (No); the largest loss, $29.03 on “Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Jul 2026. It has traded 29 markets. Its open positions are worth $40.48 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 163.37 |
| $0.398 |
| $5.39 |
| -$59.61 |
| buy |
| 67.82 |
| $0.590 |
| $40 |
| Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 10.27 | $0.050 | $0.51 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 38.6 | $0.570 | $22 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 34.92 | $0.573 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.870 | $15 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 45.12 | $0.554 | $25 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.214 | $2.2 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 13.48 | $0.120 | $1.62 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 157.23 | $0.159 | $25 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 105.26 | $0.260 | $27.37 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.62 | $0.789 | $13.9 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 61.57 | $0.220 | $13.55 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.51 | $0.797 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.48 | $0.801 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.88 | $0.792 | $30 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.45 | $0.618 | $25 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 17.89 | $0.950 | $17 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.3 | $0.920 | $15 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 96.15 | $0.220 | $21.15 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 34.33 | $0.670 | $23 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 485.48 | $0.002 | $0.97 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.260 | $25 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.49 | $0.370 | $4.99 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 65.53 | $0.380 | $24.9 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 43.86 | $0.570 | $25 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 39.41 | $0.290 | $11.43 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | sell | 142.95 | $0.080 | $11.44 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 142.95 | $0.200 | $28.59 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.750 | $21 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.039 | $6.96 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.220 | $7.86 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.050 | $5.26 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 485.48 | $0.062 | $30 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.39K | $0.015 | $20.9 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.024 | $25 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.