Latest trade
Sep 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:01 AM UTC.
Analytics
Cobalt Kestrel D3BD has made $434.93 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 29 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:01 AM UTC.
$27.81 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Apr 9, 2026 UTC to Sep 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 526.32 | $0.038 | $11.84 | -$8.16 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:09 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 11:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 11:01 UTC
polymarket positions
30 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:09 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.91K and losing ones cost $739.92 across 29 settled positions. 24.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $855.38 on “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?” (Yes); the largest loss, $125 on “US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Sep 2026. It has traded 56 markets. Its open positions are worth $27.4 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 357.14 |
| $0.140 |
| $7.86 |
| -$42.14 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 67 | $0.298 | $7.71 | -$12.29 |
| buy |
| 526.32 |
| $0.038 |
| $20 |
| Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.299 | $20 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.028 | $2 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 595.24 | $0.042 | $25 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 631.48 | $0.015 | $9.47 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes | buy | 66.54 | $0.150 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.015 | $21.46 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.036 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.035 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.023 | $50 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7K | $0.022 | $154 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.15K | $0.013 | $41 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.013 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 248.76 | $0.201 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.004 | $14 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.68K | $0.002 | $33.37 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.32K | $0.002 | $16.63 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 869.57 | $0.046 | $40 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.052 | $40 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.009 | $14 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.010 | $30 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.018 | $40 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.230 | $38.33 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.031 | $42.28 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 856.54 | $0.024 | $20.56 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.91K | $0.026 | $49.8 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 856.55 | $0.023 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.025 | $50 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 892.85 | $0.251 | $223.72 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 892.86 | $0.056 | $50 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.008 | $15 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.044 | $50 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 96 | $0.149 | $14.3 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 3.79K | $0.014 | $53.1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.46K | $0.028 | $96 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 336.36 | $0.110 | $37 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | buy | 248.56 | $0.080 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.85K | $0.013 | $38.27 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes | sell | 480.7 | $0.030 | $14.48 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 807.72 | $0.032 | $25.63 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 670.26 | $0.010 | $6.86 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.022 | $31.66 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Yes | sell | 640.8 | $0.022 | $14.14 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 807.72 | $0.048 | $39 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.