Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 52.14 | $0.959 | $51.28 | +$1.28 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 8.62 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Apr 6, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 27.78 |
| $0.540 |
| $13.99 |
| -$1.01 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $4.66 | -$5.34 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 156.22 | $0.131 | $3.67 | -$16.83 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 39.47 | $0.380 | $3.36 | -$11.64 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 36.5 | $0.274 | $2.19 | -$7.81 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.370 | $1.95 | -$3.05 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $1.9 | -$8.1 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027? | Yes | 32.81 | $0.152 | $1.1 | -$3.9 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.350 | $1.07 | -$3.93 |
| sell |
| 5.95 |
| $0.999 |
| $5.94 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make a Deal" during Monday news conference?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.998 | $6.56 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "New Regime" or "Regime Change" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make a Deal" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Left Behind" during Monday news conference?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.81 | $0.152 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 36.5 | $0.274 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 52.14 | $0.959 | $50 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de MinaurSinner | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 24.54 | $0.999 | $24.52 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.82 | $0.923 | $9.99 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.820 | $4.44 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?Yes | buy | 7.39 | $0.677 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 20.58 | $0.972 | $20 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | sell | 28.33 | $0.990 | $28.05 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.105 | $10 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Paramount" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Larry" or "Oracle" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Soy" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?Yes | buy | 14.8 | $0.993 | $14.7 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.984 | $15 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.172 | $10.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 16.23 | $0.924 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |