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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.88 | $0.952 | $0.86 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Jun 26, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 74 |
| $0.009 |
| $0.67 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.009 | $1.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.160 | $3.36 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.253 | $3.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.820 | $25.42 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.820 | $25.42 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.140 | $5.74 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 36 | $0.957 | $34.45 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.045 | $2.52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 40 | $0.958 | $38.32 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 40 | $0.943 | $37.72 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.085 | $3.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.934 | $37.36 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.943 | $37.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.816 | $37.54 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.187 | $15.9 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.961 | $36.52 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.982 | $40.26 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.985 | $40.39 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 8 | $0.450 | $3.6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 22 | $0.690 | $15.18 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 22 | $0.690 | $15.18 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.029 | $1.04 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.007 | $0.29 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 22.65 | $0.028 | $0.63 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 64 | $0.624 | $39.94 | May 25, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.038 | $4.37 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.040 | $5.28 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.028 | $1.12 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.87 | $0.102 | $5.9 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.039 | $0.31 | May 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 42 | $0.964 | $40.49 | May 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.964 | $40.49 | May 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.015 | $1.02 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.914 | $36.56 | May 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.260 | $5.72 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.056 | $0.28 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.059 | $0.71 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.780 | $41.34 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.013 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.016 | $0.48 | May 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.975 | $39.98 | May 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.975 | $39.98 | May 15, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.947 | $36.93 | May 14, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.976 | $40.99 | May 14, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.053 | $2.23 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.039 | $0.39 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2 | $0.912 | $1.82 | May 11, 2026 |