Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 1h ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 101.01 | $0.995 | $100.15 | -$0.35 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.16 |
| $0.969 |
| $5 |
| May 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.968 | $6 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by November 30?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No | buy | 8.61 | $0.999 | $8.6 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No | buy | 2.7K | $0.999 | $2.7K | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 201.01 | $0.995 | $200 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.210 | $378 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.996 | $9 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.984 | $7 | May 30, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | May 30, 2025 |
 U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?No | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 iPhone SE 4 under $500?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Is Markiplier engaged?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 9.06 | $0.993 | $9 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 14.03 | $0.998 | $14 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 13.09 | $0.993 | $13 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-27?No | buy | 11.48 | $0.958 | $11 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.977 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 $PENGU market cap (FDV) <$1b one day after launch?No | buy | 9.28 | $0.970 | $9 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 9.02 | $0.998 | $9 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.897 | $7 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 8.71 | $0.919 | $8 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Who will win Bucks county?Trump | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will California move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Missouri by 20+ points?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris get less than 68m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Nov 29, 2024 |