Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 6 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 146 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 61.5% on 6 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 38% on 8 Feb 2025. $65.74K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 146 points, 6 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2025 | 61.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 4.07K |
| Anxious-Opportunist | Yes | 1K |
| Golden Falcon 9313 | Yes | 625 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States withdraws all conventional combat forces from Syria by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market refers only to conventional U.S. military forces operating under the Ministry of Defense, such as ground forces, air forces, or naval personnel. The presence of private military contractors (PMCs), military advisors, or special operations forces will not disqualify the market from resolving to "Yes," provided there are no conventional U.S. military forces actively operating in Syria. For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is sufficient that the United States announces all conventional combat forces have withdrawn from all Syrian territory, regardless of whether some Syrian territory remains under their control. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government be a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-withdraws-from-syria-before-july
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 483 |
| Popi26 | Yes | 62.5 |
| Lyoneon | Yes | 38.46 |
| robertblaga | Yes | 25 |
| Hachiman76 | Yes | 16.95 |
| hiropipikin | Yes | 16.95 |
| krama | Yes | 8.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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