Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.002 |
| $1 |
| Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 139.75 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionNo | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by November 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in November?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.962 | $10.56 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?Yes | buy | 3.31 | $0.302 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | sell | 114.93 | $0.021 | $2.42 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | buy | 114.93 | $0.014 | $1.64 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Megaquake in June?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.044 | $0.63 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.120 | $0.63 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Megaquake in June?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.270 | $1.08 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | sell | 4.93 | $0.900 | $4.44 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.030 | $0.27 | May 30, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.090 | $0.6 | May 30, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.910 | $4.49 | May 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.170 | $0.94 | May 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.008 | $0.35 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | May 25, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before June?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.031 | $1.03 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
| US military action on Yemen before June?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |