Latest trade
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 9:53 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
elspethy is down $2.11K on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 9:53 PM UTC.
$17.12 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Feb 3, 2026 UTC to Jul 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Open positions could not be confirmed. Missing data does not mean this wallet holds no positions.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.500 | $13 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-21 03:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-27 21:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 21:53 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Jul 2026. It has traded 71 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 28.9 |
| $0.865 |
| $25 |
| Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 40.54 | $0.220 | $8.92 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47.06 | $0.850 | $40 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 24.36 | $0.890 | $21.68 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 18.91 | $0.930 | $17.59 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.86 | $0.046 | $1.19 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 54.79 | $0.949 | $52 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No | sell | 15.7 | $0.989 | $15.53 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 24.36 | $0.698 | $17 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 17.1 | $0.999 | $17.08 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No | buy | 15.71 | $0.955 | $15 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?Yes | buy | 22.11 | $0.950 | $21 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.960 | $16 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.92 | $0.740 | $14 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 34.04 | $0.948 | $32.27 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 17.54 | $0.978 | $17.15 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 18.34 | $0.954 | $17.5 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 23.78 | $0.921 | $21.9 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 17.11 | $0.760 | $13 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.43 | $0.929 | $32 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.001 | $3.2 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 X Money released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.58 | $0.900 | $23.92 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Kash Patel out by April 30?No | buy | 23.11 | $0.909 | $21 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 22.62 | $0.840 | $19 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 26.73 | $0.994 | $26.57 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 16.75 | $0.997 | $16.7 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.73 | $0.949 | $25.37 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.36 | $0.920 | $23.33 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.969 | $17 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 18.35 | $0.981 | $18 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 16.3 | $0.920 | $15 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 16.75 | $0.985 | $16.5 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 36.84 | $0.967 | $35.62 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 14.27 | $0.981 | $14 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?No | buy | 22.4 | $0.982 | $22 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?No | buy | 16.36 | $0.978 | $16 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 21.79 | $0.550 | $11.98 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.64 | $0.893 | $22 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?No | buy | 22.34 | $0.940 | $21 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 21.79 | $0.780 | $17 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.880 | $11 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?No | buy | 18.79 | $0.979 | $18.4 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.210 | $3.09 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.