Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 90% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 133 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Mar 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 60.5% on 7 Nov 2025. $196.28K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 133 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 90.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jewishere | Yes | 8.32K |
| Pumpump | Yes | 6.47K |
| ohbabybaby | Yes | 2.76K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-airdop-by
| Unrekted | Yes | 1.97K |
| deadqd | Yes | 1.43K |
| dadwawf | Yes | 1.3K |
| Worldly-Coat | Yes | 1.26K |
| 0xhanxyz | Yes | 1.19K |
| Jade Summit 6E05 | Yes | 478.75 |
| Neon Maven 3EA2 | Yes | 465.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
