Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 51.61 | $0.368 | $40.52 | +$21.52 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | 27d ago |
 |
| No |
| 14.29 |
| $0.700 |
| $11.93 |
| +$1.93 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 12 | $0.250 | $10.74 | +$7.74 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.580 | $8.36 | -$1.64 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 47.11 | $0.148 | $7.77 | +$0.77 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 12.46 | $0.642 | $5.8 | -$2.2 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 9.42 | $0.531 | $5.74 | +$0.74 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 5.97 | $0.670 | $3.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.36 | $0.560 | $2.54 | -$0.46 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.12 | $0.490 | $2.05 | -$0.95 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.7 | $0.540 | $1.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 21.05 | $0.190 | $1.16 | -$2.84 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | No | 13.89 | $0.360 | $0.81 | -$4.19 |
 Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $0.16 | -$1.84 |
| buy |
| 4.5 |
| $0.666 |
| $3 |
| 28d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 9.42 | $0.531 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 8.83 | $0.566 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.11 | $0.149 | $7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 14.22 | $0.460 | $6.54 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 28.45 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.654 | $4 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.338 | $2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Test" during Cabinet meeting?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | May 27, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp | sell | 7.89 | $0.500 | $3.95 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | sell | 20.85 | $0.407 | $8.48 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | sell | 23.8 | $0.220 | $5.24 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 8.94 | $0.559 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown | sell | 6.89 | $0.490 | $3.38 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETUp | sell | 6.52 | $0.970 | $6.32 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETUp | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 13.35 | $0.075 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |