Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 25 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 16.5% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 0.1% on 12 Jul 2026. $2.9M traded over the market's life.
537 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 1:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 25 Apr 2026 – 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 11.5% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.85M |
| timetowander | Yes | 630.54K |
| Molten-Brains | Yes | 400K |
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-golden-boot-winner
| Yes |
| 50K |
| alwayslatetotheparty | Yes | 44.18K |
| f3arless | Yes | 39.88K |
| Prelode | Yes | 39.06K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 34.44K |
| NOT | Yes | 30K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 21.71K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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