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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.26 | $0.912 | $0.25 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.940 | $39.48 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.2 |
| $0.974 |
| $0.19 |
| -$0 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.89 | $0.050 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 42 |
| $0.070 |
| $2.94 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.130 | $5.46 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.080 | $1.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.190 | $11.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.190 | $28.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.240 | $0.96 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.987 | $41.45 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.220 | $20.68 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.130 | $11.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.280 | $3.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 26 | $0.954 | $24.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.090 | $0.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.390 | $5.07 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 41 | $0.950 | $38.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.880 | $3.52 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 44 | $0.980 | $43.12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.980 | $43.12 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.935 | $39.27 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.824 | $42.85 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.140 | $6.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.830 | $2.49 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.830 | $45.65 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.480 | $28.32 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.650 | $47.45 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.613 | $47.22 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.983 | $47.18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.981 | $47.09 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.760 | $23.56 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.470 | $42.77 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.013 | $2.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.984 | $44.28 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.270 | $12.42 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.265 | $2.12 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.268 | $16.08 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.043 | $3.44 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.988 | $50.39 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 51 | $0.977 | $49.83 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.026 | $2.11 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.018 | $1.91 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.035 | $5.6 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.560 | $33.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.775 | $31.78 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.015 | $1.17 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.015 | $2.15 | May 28, 2026 |