Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.720 | $1.1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.39 |
| $0.983 |
| $1.37 |
| Jan 9, 2026 |
| Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.978 | $1.36 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.986 | $1.53 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.900 | $1.4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.52 | $0.371 | $1.31 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.374 | $1.32 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.890 | $1.53 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No | buy | 1.38 | $0.979 | $1.35 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.680 | $1.01 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.840 | $1.45 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.992 | $1.45 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.700 | $1.04 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.810 | $0.92 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.987 | $1.45 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Leavitt say "Administration" 20+ times during the next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.600 | $1.4 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.840 | $1.13 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 4.35 | $0.998 | $4.34 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.880 | $1.19 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.854 | $0.97 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.880 | $1.42 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.890 | $1.44 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. be named the 2025 World Series MVP?Yes | buy | 3.6 | $0.300 | $1.08 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.982 | $1.22 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.900 | $1.02 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.935 | $2.9 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Haruki Murakami win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.987 | $1.39 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.940 | $2.92 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.910 | $1.27 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.920 | $1.29 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.840 | $1.26 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 2025 August hottest on record?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.991 | $1.18 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.950 | $1.32 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.860 | $1.29 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.890 | $1.24 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.980 | $1.54 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.900 | $1.12 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.890 | $1.24 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.59 | $0.720 | $1.14 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will no leader be out in 2025?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.800 | $1.49 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.987 | $1.45 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.994 | $1.47 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.870 | $1.19 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.880 | $1.21 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?No | sell | 0.38 | $0.960 | $0.36 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.720 | $2.22 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.996 | $1.38 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.640 | $1.02 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.992 | $0.71 | Jun 4, 2025 |