Latest trade
Aug 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 1:22 PM UTC.
Analytics
mateo2 is down $25.2 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 1:22 PM UTC.
$1.52 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Feb 21, 2025 UTC to Aug 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 9.15 | $0.993 | $9.09 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-18 21:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 13:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 13:22 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-18 21:38 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $4.64 and losing ones cost $29.84 across 46 settled positions. 67.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.08 on “LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season” (Team Vitality); the largest loss, $5.2 on “Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Aug 2026. It has traded 47 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.07 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.7 |
| $0.740 |
| $2 |
| Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 19?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 19?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 19?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on April 18?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on April 18?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 18?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality | buy | 4.04 | $0.730 | $2.95 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Anyones Legend | buy | 10.88 | $0.960 | $10.45 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.965 | $10.1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.349 | $2 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.960 | $11.62 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.988 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.910 | $5.2 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.950 | $4.94 | Nov 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.52K | $0.991 | $2.5K | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Turkish president on September 25?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.52K | $0.992 | $2.5K | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 2.52K | $0.992 | $2.5K | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 2.52K | $0.993 | $2.5K | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.52K | $0.994 | $2.5K | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
 Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.52K | $0.995 | $2.51K | Sep 25, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.47 | $0.980 | $3.4 | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 225–239 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.989 | $3.36 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.912 | $1 | May 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 275-299 times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Apr 9, 2025 UTC |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.995 | $1.04 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.997 | $0.25 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump say "Reserve" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump say "Ethereum" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | sell | 0.9 | $0.996 | $0.9 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.450 | $0.69 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 2.42K | $0.997 | $2.41K | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 2.42K | $0.998 | $2.42K | Feb 21, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.