Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 91.5% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 16% on 23 Nov 2025. $2.39M traded over the market's life.
238 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 1 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | 49.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Watch-Gel-Pods | Yes | 40K |
| Siggi9933 | Yes | 30.71K |
| Threadbare-Bond | Yes | 17.05K |
| ttt6869 | Yes | 11.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-650k-btc-by-november-30
| EVplusrebate | Yes | 10.91K |
| siabada | Yes | 10.63K |
| strc | Yes | 8K |
| notgaty | Yes | 7.81K |
| Worn-Ozone | Yes | 5.63K |
| libinek | Yes | 5.18K |
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