Latest trade
Feb 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:41 PM UTC.
Analytics
outcaster has made $17.78 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 19 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:41 PM UTC.
$0.12 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Oct 1, 2024 UTC to Feb 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.682 | $44.33 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-10 06:58 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 23:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 23:41 UTC
polymarket positions
21 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-10 06:58 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.67 and losing ones cost $1.24 across 19 settled positions. 5.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $20.67 on “Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.13 on “Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Feb 2026. It has traded 33 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 58.71 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.06 |
| Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will BILLY be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Illinois Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
 Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 12.03 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
| Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.002 | $0 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
| Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 12.16 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
| Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 18.32 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Oct 30, 2024 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.002 | $0.15 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Washington Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
 4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.002 | $0.12 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.002 | $0.12 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ion Chicu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.002 | $0.13 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 25?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.002 | $0.15 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Curitiba mayoral election?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.002 | $0.11 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
| Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 8.31 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Oct 21, 2024 UTC |
| Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Oct 21, 2024 UTC |
| Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Oct 21, 2024 UTC |
| Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 32.69 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Oct 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Oct 14, 2024 UTC |
| Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Oct 12, 2024 UTC |
| Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Oct 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 93.33 | $0.997 | $93.05 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 93.34 | $0.998 | $93.15 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
 Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No | sell | 93.34 | $0.998 | $93.15 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No | buy | 93.34 | $0.999 | $93.25 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?No | sell | 93.44 | $0.998 | $93.25 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?No | buy | 93.44 | $0.999 | $93.35 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
 Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 93.63 | $0.997 | $93.35 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 93.64 | $0.998 | $93.45 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
 Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?No | sell | 93.78 | $0.997 | $93.5 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?No | buy | 93.79 | $0.998 | $93.6 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.002 | $0.13 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
 Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 93.98 | $0.997 | $93.7 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 93.99 | $0.998 | $93.8 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.002 | $0.12 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
 Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 94.28 | $0.996 | $93.9 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 94.28 | $0.997 | $94 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
| Will Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.002 | $0.13 | Oct 1, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.