
Resolved No on 12 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 30% on 27 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2024 to 12 Nov 2024, the highest close was 30% on 27 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 11 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 5.1% on 28 Sep 2024. $332.7K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 13, 6:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 27 Sep 2024 – 12 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | 30.0% |
| 12 Nov 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 205.87K |
| Emerald Harbor F255 | Yes | 257.51 |
| 54654 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if BILLY (https://dexscreener.com/solana/9uww4c36hictgr6pzw9vfhr9vdxktz8na8jvnzqu35pj) reaches $1b FDV before all other pump.fun coins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The market start date is September 26, 2024, 3:00 PM ET. The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply. If no pump.fun coin reaches $1b between September 26 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-pumpfun-coin-to-1b
| Yes |
| 100 |
| 3432 | Yes | 100 |
| 4325 | Yes | 100 |
| Staid-Pegboard | Yes | 100 |
| 15gfd | Yes | 100 |
| 45363456 | Yes | 100 |
| Offbeat-Pregnancy | Yes | 100 |
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