Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$19.5M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 3, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 338 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2024 to 3 Jan 2025, the highest close was 50% on 1 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4.5% on 2 Feb 2024. $19.5M traded over the market's life.

701 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 3:38 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 338 points, 1 Feb 2024 – 3 Jan 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.68M
NHBBrownsville	Yes	8.33K
Mixroni	Yes	6.53K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2024/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Dune: Part 2' (2024) as the film with the highest 2024 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2024 - dates outside of 2024 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.