Latest trade
Feb 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 12:49 PM UTC.
Analytics
Johnmcmurphy is down $1.6K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 33 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 12:49 PM UTC.
$31.98 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 16 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Jun 26, 2025 UTC to Feb 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 237.18 | $0.440 | $104.36 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-25 16:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 12:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 12:49 UTC
polymarket positions
34 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-25 16:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7K and losing ones cost $4.87K across 33 settled positions. 51.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.52K on “US military action against Iran before July?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.14K on “Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Feb 2026. It has traded 42 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Will the US strike Iran next?Yes| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $10 |
| Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 120.38 | $0.033 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.61 | $0.559 | $40 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Sep 2, 2025 UTC |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Sep 2, 2025 UTC |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 800.69 | $0.362 | $289.92 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.174 | $289.93 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
 US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.415 | $953.61 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.32K | $0.219 | $947.81 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.470 | $28.2 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jul 8, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 667.94 | $0.498 | $332.61 | Jul 8, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 508 | $0.340 | $172.72 | Jul 8, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.202 | $41.33 | Jul 8, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 217.64 | $0.360 | $78.35 | Jul 7, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 679 | $0.290 | $196.91 | Jul 7, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 217.64 | $0.360 | $78.35 | Jul 7, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.226 | $45.2 | Jul 5, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.221 | $33.15 | Jul 5, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 641.18 | $0.034 | $21.8 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.218 | $21.8 | Jul 4, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.224 | $299.99 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | sell | 410.95 | $0.730 | $299.99 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.182 | $247.34 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 410.96 | $0.730 | $300 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.600 | $600 | Jul 1, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 359.99 | $0.560 | $201.59 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.580 | $139.27 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.19 | $0.170 | $8.02 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 45.15 | $0.590 | $26.64 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 349.67 | $0.590 | $206.31 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 0.73 | $0.170 | $0.12 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 952.07 | $0.170 | $161.85 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.590 | $7.2 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.590 | $1.44 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.590 | $4.32 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 52.22 | $0.590 | $30.81 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.590 | $0.59 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.8 | $0.270 | $4.81 | Jun 28, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 58.18 | $0.350 | $20.36 | Jun 26, 2025 UTC |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.350 | $12.25 | Jun 26, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.