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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 237.18 | $0.440 | $104.36 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the US strike Iran next?Yes| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $10 |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 120.38 | $0.033 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.61 | $0.559 | $40 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 800.69 | $0.362 | $289.92 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.174 | $289.93 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.415 | $953.61 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.32K | $0.219 | $947.81 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 667.94 | $0.498 | $332.61 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 508 | $0.340 | $172.72 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.202 | $41.33 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 217.64 | $0.360 | $78.35 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 679 | $0.290 | $196.91 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 217.64 | $0.360 | $78.35 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 641.18 | $0.034 | $21.8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.218 | $21.8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.224 | $299.99 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | sell | 410.95 | $0.730 | $299.99 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.182 | $247.34 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 410.96 | $0.730 | $300 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 359.99 | $0.560 | $201.59 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.580 | $139.27 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 673.4 | $0.297 | $200 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 528.57 | $0.420 | $222 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 121.44 | $0.469 | $57 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 638.3 | $0.470 | $300 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.13K | $0.470 | $1K | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 580.38 | $0.793 | $460 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 4.68K | $0.831 | $3.89K | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 425.53 | $0.470 | $200 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.348 | $521.63 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 638.3 | $0.470 | $300 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 307.46 | $0.325 | $100 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.354 | $700 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.847 | $1.21K | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.400 | $600 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 60.53 | $0.826 | $50 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | sell | 3.77K | $0.477 | $1.8K | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 2.87K | $0.470 | $1.35K | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.972 | $1K | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 164.61 | $0.608 | $100 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 793.65 | $0.630 | $500 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 31.82 | $0.660 | $21 | Jun 22, 2025 |