Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.540 | $4.43 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 42 |
| $0.024 |
| $1.01 |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.022 | $0.44 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 478.37 | $0.003 | $1.44 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.049 | $1.23 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.117 | $2.34 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.052 | $0.83 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 346.82 | $0.008 | $2.77 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will a club from Germany win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the US add more than 200k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.038 | $1.14 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $3.5-3.75 in June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.026 | $1.3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.108 | $1.08 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.066 | $1.32 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will a club from Germany win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.060 | $0.55 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.010 | $0.94 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.35 | $0.220 | $2.5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 61.01 | $0.020 | $1.22 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.061 | $1.22 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?Yes | buy | 7.85 | $0.150 | $1.18 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.024 | $1.2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.044 | $0.92 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.024 | $1.44 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.028 | $1.12 | Jun 16, 2025 |