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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 0.21 | $0.590 | $0.17 | +$0.05 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.831 | $0.15 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 0.2 |
| $0.630 |
| $0.17 |
| +$0.04 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 0.16 | $0.790 | $0.15 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 0.18 |
| $0.840 |
| $0.15 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.440 | $3.86 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.38 | $0.180 | $2.59 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.974 | $0.14 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.38 | $0.340 | $4.89 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 5.07 | $0.996 | $5.05 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 4.97 | $0.983 | $4.89 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.930 | $5.67 | May 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.730 | $0.15 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.963 | $4.89 | May 1, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 6.51 | $0.730 | $4.75 | May 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.750 | $4.89 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.994 | $5.33 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.364 | $0.27 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.800 | $4.82 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.660 | $0.14 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 8.37 | $0.660 | $5.52 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 5.35 | $0.820 | $4.39 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 8.84 | $0.169 | $1.49 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 8.36 | $0.330 | $2.76 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | sell | 7.11 | $0.690 | $4.91 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7.22 | $0.652 | $4.71 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.630 | $0.12 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.639 | $4.75 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.34 | $0.680 | $4.31 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.73 | $0.072 | $0.12 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 68.95 | $0.072 | $4.96 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.084 | $0.12 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 55.32 | $0.084 | $4.65 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 5.29 | $0.900 | $4.76 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 7.56 | $0.670 | $5.07 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 28.72 | $0.305 | $8.76 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 8.08 | $0.550 | $4.44 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 8.29 | $0.590 | $4.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 24.45 | $0.251 | $6.14 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | buy | 29.46 | $0.166 | $4.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.985 | $5.41 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 24.45 | $0.200 | $4.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 9.13 | $0.691 | $6.31 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 7.76 | $0.630 | $4.89 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 9.12 | $0.536 | $4.89 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 10.74 | $0.538 | $5.78 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 10.09 | $0.549 | $5.54 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 10.08 | $0.477 | $4.81 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.455 | $4.89 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 9.98 | $0.440 | $4.39 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 9.98 | $0.490 | $4.89 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 11.37 | $0.510 | $5.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.900 | $4.89 | Apr 12, 2026 |