Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 11.03 | $0.028 | $0.31 | Jul 17, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 19.98 |
| $0.038 |
| $0.76 |
| Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.280 | $1.68 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.300 | $1.2 | Jul 11, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.650 | $3.26 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | sell | 4.5 | $0.640 | $2.88 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.630 | $6 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.430 | $2.1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 127.6 | $0.017 | $2.17 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 7.91 | $0.430 | $3.4 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.016 | $0.8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 127.59 | $0.021 | $2.68 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | sell | 17.43 | $0.118 | $2.06 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | buy | 34.86 | $0.143 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before August?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.032 | $0.64 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | sell | 35.29 | $0.029 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | sell | 7.15 | $0.080 | $0.57 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.034 | $1.2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.193 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes | sell | 38.13 | $0.015 | $0.57 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.243 | $2.67 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 10.78 | $0.211 | $2.27 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.213 | $1.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 9.39 | $0.213 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.101 | $3.03 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | sell | 16.26 | $0.110 | $1.79 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | sell | 23.69 | $0.042 | $0.99 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.152 | $1.09 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.205 | $1.51 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.115 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |