Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:15 PM UTC.
Analytics
genius520 is down $83.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:15 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 56.0% were buys. They run from Sep 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.93 | $0.658 | $3.24 | +$0.65 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Cavaliers | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 2d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 08:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 23:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 23:15 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 08:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $98.92 and losing ones cost $6.95 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.86 on “Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2 on “Patriots vs. Bengals” (Bengals).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 811 markets. Its open positions are worth $24.07 across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.41 |
| $0.734 |
| $2.71 |
| +$0.21 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 4.2 | $0.476 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.193 | $2.24 | +$1.09 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.340 | $1.14 | +$0.73 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 1.14 | $0.879 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.26 | $0.760 | $1.02 | +$0.06 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.57 | $0.870 | $0.53 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 0.16 |
| $0.930 |
| $0.15 |
| 2d ago |
 Hurricanes vs. OilersHurricanes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.879 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Thunder vs. SpursThunder | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.900 | $0.52 | 3d ago |
| Hurricanes vs. CanucksHurricanes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Hurricanes vs. CanucksHurricanes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5Under | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)Kentucky | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 7d ago |
 LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerMVK Esports | sell | 2.24 | $0.999 | $2.24 | 7d ago |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)Notre Dame | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 7d ago |
| LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerMVK Esports | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 7d ago |
| LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerMVK Esports | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 7d ago |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.920 | $1.07 | 8d ago |
| Devils vs. CapitalsDevils | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Spread: Purdue (-3.5)Washington | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Sabres vs. Maple LeafsSabres | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 9d ago |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.280 | $0.42 | 9d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 15d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.250 | $0.8 | 20d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | sell | 1.8 | $0.250 | $0.45 | 20d ago |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.072 | $0.55 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.240 | $0.74 | 20d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | buy | 4.9 | $0.204 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.650 | $1.03 | 23d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.176 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.860 | $0.05 | 24d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.930 | $0.26 | 24d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.920 | $0.33 | 24d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 0.46 | $0.920 | $0.42 | 24d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.910 | $1.02 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.920 | $0.96 | 27d ago |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.217 | $1 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.930 | $0.1 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.930 | $0.12 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.964 | $0.22 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.