Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 33 | $0.810 | $31.19 | +$4.46 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 31.71 |
| $0.820 |
| $26 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No | buy | 12.73 | $0.550 | $7 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | buy | 40.77 | $0.981 | $40 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 9.46 | $0.740 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 26.83 | $0.969 | $26 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | May 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | buy | 35.21 | $0.852 | $30 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No | buy | 15.28 | $0.720 | $11 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 18.62 | $0.537 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.220 | $6 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.345 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.899 | $6.81 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 11.81 | $0.940 | $11.1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.900 | $9.99 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 11–18?No | buy | 12.27 | $0.978 | $12 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.975 | $13 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 28?No | buy | 14.45 | $0.969 | $14 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.960 | $12 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $140 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 21.19 | $0.944 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Brian Armstrong say Base during his X space?Yes | buy | 17.02 | $0.940 | $16 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 20.44 | $0.979 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 55.85 | $0.998 | $55.74 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.980 | $14 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 14.61 | $0.958 | $14 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?No | buy | 20.7 | $0.966 | $20 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?No | buy | 20.33 | $0.984 | $20 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Wizards vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 17.72 | $0.920 | $16.3 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers | buy | 25.29 | $0.870 | $22 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.840 | $16 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 55.86 | $0.963 | $53.79 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Dogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsTimberwolves | buy | 27.52 | $0.750 | $20.64 | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Celtics vs. WizardsCeltics | buy | 24.44 | $0.900 | $22 | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Spurs vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 23.08 | $0.810 | $18.7 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Raptors vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 19.57 | $0.920 | $18 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Nuggets vs. PelicansNuggets | buy | 18.87 | $0.820 | $15.47 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 36.7 | $0.860 | $31.56 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Leicester win on 2024-11-10?No | buy | 31.57 | $0.900 | $28.41 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Heat vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 28.98 | $0.910 | $26.37 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Nets vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 1-8?Yes | buy | 30.68 | $0.927 | $28.44 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Nets vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 20.69 | $0.870 | $18 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | Nov 8, 2024 |