Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 28 Mar 2025, the highest close was 14.5% on 22 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 28 Mar 2025. $554.45K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 4:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 28 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 14.5% |
| 28 Mar 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 200.01K |
| KimbalMusk | Yes | 20.88K |
| SoloLeveraging | Yes | 16.67K |
| Megatron747 | Yes | 3.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 28 Mar '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-march-28
| MarcoHodler | Yes | 1.71K |
| heuer | Yes | 600 |
| Jasin67 | Yes | 105 |
| flam.tap | Yes | 100 |
| fudfud | Yes | 60 |
| jinw | Yes | 6.67 |
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