Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 9.26 | $0.540 | $4.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.830 | $4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 4.11 |
| $0.730 |
| $3.12 |
| +$0.12 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 49.45 | $0.040 | $2.79 | +$0.79 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 4.88 | $0.410 | $1.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
| buy |
| 4.65 |
| $0.430 |
| $2 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.170 | $1.1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | sell | 14.47 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will no leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.194 | $1.16 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.137 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.415 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 3.72 | $0.269 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Jul 18, 2025 |