Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.520 | $3.4 | Nov 10, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 5.87 |
| $0.580 |
| $3.4 |
| Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.930 | $5.46 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.860 | $4.69 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.916 | $4.3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No | sell | 4.04 | $0.999 | $4.04 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.860 | $3.48 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 400–424 times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.968 | $3.37 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.680 | $2.34 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.872 | $3 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.987 | $3.98 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 3.98 | $0.989 | $3.94 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.999 | $3.94 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.972 | $3.83 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.950 | $3.64 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.940 | $3.42 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.960 | $3.28 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.940 | $3.09 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.985 | $3.04 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.931 | $2.83 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 110–124 times May 30–June 6?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.920 | $2.6 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.900 | $2.34 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 9–16?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.980 | $2.3 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.995 | $2.29 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.870 | $1.99 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?No | sell | 3.62 | $0.550 | $1.99 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.880 | $3.19 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 11–18?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.870 | $2.77 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.983 | $2.73 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.947 | $2.58 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.140 | $1.39 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.979 | $1.36 | Feb 22, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.949 | $1.29 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.961 | $0.1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Sisi out as President of Egypt by March 31?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.974 | $0.11 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Megaquake in December?No | buy | 0.09 | $0.986 | $0.09 | Dec 26, 2024 |
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.947 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.986 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.910 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Sabato De Sarno out as creative Director of Gucci before February?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.948 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 0.15 | $0.660 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.959 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.948 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.968 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.920 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Sisi out as President of Egypt by March 31?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.900 | $0.1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Bryan Johnson’s average nighttime erection 2h 12m+ in Dec?Yes | buy | 0.45 | $0.660 | $0.3 | Dec 14, 2024 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | buy | 0.36 | $0.840 | $0.3 | Dec 14, 2024 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.32 | $0.940 | $0.3 | Dec 14, 2024 |