Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 26 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 29% on 30 Apr 2025 and the low 0.9% on 2 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 6% on 1 May 2025. $289.91K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 26 Apr 2025 – 2 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2025 | 12.5% |
| 2 May 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 127.37K |
| HugeSilver | Yes | 1.73K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1.6K |
| vamnizar | Yes | 1K |
| xx7x | Yes | 400 |
| moussa1 | Yes | 252.04 |
| Jilibeey | Yes | 172.8 |
| AlternativeRed | Yes | 159.09 |
| explisitComment | Yes | 155.66 |
| mustaqbal | Yes | 119.41 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between April 25, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and May 2, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-25-may-2
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