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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.043 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.540 | $35.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 69 |
| $0.470 |
| $32.43 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.961 | $35.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.961 | $35.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 71 | $0.500 | $35.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.500 | $35.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.044 | $1.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.043 | $1.55 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.025 | $0.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.600 | $30.6 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.955 | $10.5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.954 | $20.99 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.310 | $11.16 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.350 | $12.6 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 66 | $0.550 | $36.3 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 1 | $0.988 | $0.99 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.931 | $27 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.968 | $28.07 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.013 | $0.99 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.978 | $25.43 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 26 | $0.992 | $25.79 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 26 | $0.993 | $25.82 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 169 | $0.007 | $1.18 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?No | sell | 27 | $0.993 | $26.81 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.986 | $26.62 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 28 | $0.973 | $27.24 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 28 | $0.973 | $27.24 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 27 | $0.977 | $26.38 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 27 | $0.977 | $26.38 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 27 | $0.993 | $26.81 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 31 | $0.877 | $27.19 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.048 | $1.39 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 27 | $0.944 | $25.49 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 27 | $0.982 | $26.51 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 27 | $0.992 | $26.78 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.966 | $27.05 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.961 | $26.91 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 27 | $0.978 | $26.41 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 28 | $0.978 | $27.38 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.033 | $1.09 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.013 | $1.82 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 252 | $0.014 | $3.53 | Sep 23, 2025 |