
Resolved No on 11 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 262 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2025 to 11 Mar 2026, the highest close was 25% on 24 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 17% on 25 Jun 2025.
378 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 262 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 11 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 25.0% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.71M |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 318.08K |
| Round-Real | Yes | 188.51K |
This market is to predict the winner of the 2025–26 NBA Finals.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-champion
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| cry.eth2 | Yes | 153.36K |
| morvi11 | Yes | 151.87K |
| pd.unique | Yes | 145.62K |
| Lunar Summit 50E1 | Yes | 134K |
| BigFishSushiChief | Yes | 98.77K |
| Swift Sphinx 573C | Yes | 86.11K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 78.72K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.