Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:54 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 31 settled positions.
Thirsty-Cadet is down $2.96K on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-30 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:54 PM UTC.
$111.67 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2025 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 147.04 | $0.976 | $143.36 | -$0.15 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 147.04 | $0.976 | $143.51 | 8d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-30 13:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 20:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 20:54 UTC
polymarket positions
32 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-30 13:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $117.88 and losing ones cost $8.93 across 31 settled positions. 83.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $28.01 on “US-China trade deal before June?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.21 on “Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 34 markets. Its open positions are worth $154.29 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 11.19 |
| $0.983 |
| $10.93 |
| -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 146.9 |
| $0.999 |
| $146.75 |
| Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 146.9 | $0.998 | $146.61 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 146.7 | $0.999 | $146.55 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 146.7 | $0.998 | $146.41 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.600 | $2K | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 142.91 | $0.600 | $85.75 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 166.88 | $0.600 | $100.13 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 250 | $0.600 | $150 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.600 | $734.59 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 111.8 | $0.996 | $111.35 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 111.8 | $0.956 | $106.88 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 111.75 | $0.994 | $111.08 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 111.52 | $0.996 | $111.07 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 111.52 | $0.993 | $110.74 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 113.1 | $0.979 | $110.72 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 13.1 | $0.979 | $12.82 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | sell | 112.09 | $0.988 | $110.7 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 112.09 | $0.991 | $111.08 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 112.08 | $0.991 | $111.07 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 112.08 | $0.981 | $109.95 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.969 | $106.59 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.955 | $105.05 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.983 | $11 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.995 | $13.93 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 42 | $0.995 | $41.79 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.993 | $14.9 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.987 | $10.86 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.996 | $10.96 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.970 | $11.64 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 119.34 | $0.991 | $118.27 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 119.34 | $0.992 | $118.39 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 119.11 | $0.994 | $118.4 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 119.11 | $0.968 | $115.3 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 116.34 | $0.991 | $115.29 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 116.35 | $0.986 | $114.72 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 116 | $0.989 | $114.72 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 116 | $0.983 | $114.03 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No | buy | 114.03 | $0.983 | $112.11 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 114.63 | $0.978 | $112.11 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 114.64 | $0.977 | $112 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No | sell | 112.9 | $0.992 | $112 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No | buy | 112.91 | $0.994 | $112.23 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 113.6 | $0.988 | $112.24 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 113.6 | $0.976 | $110.9 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 124.33 | $0.892 | $110.9 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 124.33 | $0.938 | $116.62 | Nov 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 248.66 | $0.948 | $235.73 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 235.72 | $0.973 | $229.36 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.