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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.31 |
| $0.764 |
| $1.11 |
| +$0.11 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | Yes | 1.49 | $0.670 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 1.3 |
| $0.770 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.764 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.438 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?Yes | buy | 34.33 | $0.029 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $100 in March?Yes | buy | 2.57 | $0.389 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.550 | $1.94 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Yes | buy | 10.38 | $0.289 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.469 | $1.94 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.940 | $6.06 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 5.53 | $0.983 | $5.44 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 30?Yes | buy | 14.81 | $0.135 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 30?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.029 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 131.09 | $0.023 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Apr 25?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Apr 25?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Apr 25?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Israeli military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 26.28 | $0.038 | $1 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Trudeau out in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.986 | $3.45 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 75 | $0.989 | $74.18 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 80.81 | $0.990 | $80 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.963 | $3.85 | Dec 16, 2024 |