Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 95% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 14 Mar 2025, the highest close was 100% on 11 Mar 2025 and the lowest 95% on 1 Jan 2025. $400.79K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 2:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 14 Mar 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 95.0% |
| 14 Mar 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rektt | No | 29.98K |
| vizsla | No | 10.07K |
| enochsmiles | No | 1K |
| Fnispung | No | 752.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trudeau departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trudeau-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kreshis | No | 583.33 |
| Valid-Caption | No | 413.55 |
| PolyDump | No | 100 |
| mokey | No | 96.24 |
| T.Wize | No | 71.43 |
| wbf | No | 35 |
