Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40K | $0.491 | $7K | -$12.63K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 214.31 | $0.477 | $102.14 | 2h ago |
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| No |
| 6.61K |
| $0.513 |
| $4.73K |
| +$1.33K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.51K | $0.621 | $4.14K | +$92.01 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 3K | $0.542 | $1.51K | -$110.99 |
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | Yes | 1.46K | $0.814 | $1.39K | +$202.03 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 1.5K | $0.817 | $1.36K | +$132.5 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 2.01K | $0.438 | $1.12K | +$234.7 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3K | $0.350 | $1.07K | +$15 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.930 | $955 | +$25 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.900 | $905 | +$5 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.800 | $855 | +$55 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 2.73K | $0.648 | $832.54 | -$937.89 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1K | $0.730 | $785 | +$55 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | No | 999.99 | $0.625 | $679.99 | +$55 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 815.32 | $0.480 | $493.27 | +$101.92 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.05K | $0.104 | $481.14 | -$150.66 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 483.49 | $0.906 | $474.06 | +$36.15 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 612.65 | $0.715 | $471.74 | +$33.89 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | No | 500 | $0.800 | $444.5 | +$44.5 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 953.99 | $0.798 | $376.83 | -$384.95 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 1.65K | $0.328 | $337.51 | -$203.05 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.410 | $285 | -$125 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 1.93K | $0.652 | $269.58 | -$986.98 |
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | No | 229.99 | $0.614 | $175.94 | +$34.65 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.810 | $173 | +$11 |
| buy |
| 3K |
| $0.350 |
| $1.05K |
| 2h ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1K | $0.650 | $650 | 2h ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.200 | $400 | 3h ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.670 | $334.99 | 3h ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | 21h ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.530 | $530 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 221.73 | $0.480 | $106.43 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 293.59 | $0.480 | $140.92 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.480 | $144 | 1d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.94K | $0.470 | $910.86 | 1d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.470 | $940 | 1d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.670 | $201 | 1d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.350 | $700 | 1d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.930 | $930 | 2d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.991 | $1.31K | 2d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.850 | $425 | 2d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | 2d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | 2d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.680 | $339.99 | 2d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | 8d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | 8d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.450 | $450 | 11d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | 11d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.58K | $0.002 | $5.15 | 11d ago |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.073 | $76.8 | 11d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.760 | $114 | 11d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2.6K | $0.850 | $2.21K | 11d ago |
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 460.92 | $0.880 | $405.61 | 11d ago |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.730 | $730 | 11d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.550 | $1.65K | 12d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.550 | $1.1K | 12d ago |
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.870 | $208.8 | 13d ago |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | 13d ago |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 471.22 | $0.240 | $113.09 | 13d ago |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.653 | $326.41 | 13d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | 13d ago |
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?No | sell | 200 | $0.918 | $183.64 | 13d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 500 | $0.510 | $255 | 13d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | 13d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 938 | $0.430 | $403.34 | 13d ago |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | 17d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 17d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.670 | $1.34K | 17d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.930 | $930.01 | 17d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 162.65 | $0.700 | $113.85 | 17d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.720 | $1.44K | 22d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 324.94 | $0.256 | $83.18 | 28d ago |
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.760 | $19 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 412.05 | $0.760 | $313.16 | Aug 10, 2026 |