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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 17.23 | $0.290 | $1.52 | -$3.48 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.070 |
| $5 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 242.17 | $0.233 | $56.48 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.490 | $3.63 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 84.06 | $0.059 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?Yes | buy | 179.76 | $0.028 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.23 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.066 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 55.17 | $0.360 | $19.86 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.360 | $4.68 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 67.41 | $0.297 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 249 | $0.390 | $97.11 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 126.14 | $0.140 | $17.66 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 73.56 | $0.240 | $17.65 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.53 | $0.319 | $49.99 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 127.58 | $0.120 | $15.31 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.017 | $50 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.022 | $100 | Jun 22, 2025 |