Latest trade
Apr 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 11:38 PM UTC.
Analytics
Misty Kestrel 2BBD has made $15.33 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 11:38 PM UTC.
$8.93 median trade
Its latest 33 trades covered 26 markets; 42.4% were buys. They run from Mar 11, 2026 UTC to Apr 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 1.92 | $0.980 | $1.88 | -$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 21:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 23:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
33 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 23:38 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-01 07:31 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $74.17 and losing ones cost $22.69 across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.21 on “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $9.66 on “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?” (Yes).
It first traded on 10 Mar 2026 and most recently on 2 Apr 2026, 197 days ago. It has traded 60 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.88 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 7 |
| $0.760 |
| $5.32 |
| Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.957 | $27.75 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 22.94 | $0.960 | $22.02 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 35.1 | $0.962 | $33.77 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.962 | $42.33 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.800 | $7.2 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.937 | $9.37 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $120 in March?No | buy | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.688 | $3.44 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 6.58 | $0.977 | $6.43 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.994 | $8.95 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 25?No | sell | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 12 | $0.961 | $11.53 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.398 | $11.94 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.711 | $14.22 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
 Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.800 | $6.8 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.986 | $8.87 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 16?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethena reach $0.24 in March?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.020 | $0.24 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.015 | $0.18 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.015 | $0.18 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.748 | $8.98 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.966 | $8.69 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.992 | $8.93 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.991 | $8.92 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.